Hickman County, TN

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 24,872

Relatively Low Riskier than 47% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Hickman County has experienced 25 federally declared disasters since 1973, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Hickman County's highest-rated hazards are earthquake, tornado, and landslide, with its top risk rated "Relatively Low" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 147% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Hickman County has been designated in 25 declarations since 1973, covering 7 disaster types including severe storm (13), flood (5), winter storm (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2023 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornado
2021 Tornado Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2021 Flood Severe Storm And Flooding
2020 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19

Showing the 10 most recent of 25 total declarations since 1973.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 12 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Low 46.8 25 0 $473K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 82.2
Heat Wave Relatively Low 43.7 7 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 82.2 9 0 $895K
Hurricane Very Low 29.5 0 0
Hail Very Low 5.4 16 0
Strong Wind Relatively Low 50.2 0 0
Winter Weather Very Low 19.5 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 48.2
Cold Wave Relatively Low 57.8
Lightning Relatively Low 37.3 2 0 $3K
Drought Relatively Low 36 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 65.4 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Hickman County ranks in the 42nd percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 42nd Low
Socioeconomic status 53rd Moderate
Household characteristics 18th Very low
Racial & ethnic minority status 30th Low
Housing type & transportation 53rd Moderate

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 40th Relatively Moderate
Risk to homes 37th Relatively Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 96.4%

NOAA tracked 59 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 17 in 2016–20 vs 42 in 2021–25 (+147% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Hickman County with other counties → All Tennessee counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Hickman County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Hickman County, Tennessee are earthquake, tornado, and landslide. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Hickman County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Hickman County has received 25 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (13 declarations).

Has Hickman County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Hickman County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1973.

How does Hickman County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Williamson County, TN has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Lewis County, TN has the lowest (Very Low). Hickman County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Hickman County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Hickman County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Hickman County's composite score of 47 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 47% of US counties.

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