Marshall County, OK

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 15,274

Relatively Low Riskier than 49% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Marshall County has experienced 18 federally declared disasters since 1982, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2021. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Marshall County's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, strong wind, and hail, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 380% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (88th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Marshall County has been designated in 18 declarations since 1982, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (7), severe ice storm (6), biological (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storm
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2015 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2011 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storm
2010 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storm
2008 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2007 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms And Flooding
2007 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Flooding, And Tornadoes

Showing the 10 most recent of 18 total declarations since 1982.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively Low 79.3 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Low 38.8 4 0 $50K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 44.8 6
Heat Wave Relatively Low 74.9 88 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 81.4 9 2 $2.0M
Hurricane Very Low 32.6 0 0
Hail Relatively Moderate 81.8 43 0
Strong Wind Relatively High 87.8 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Low 35.5 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively High 88.6
Cold Wave Relatively Low 37.7
Lightning Relatively Low 42.2 1 1
Drought Relatively Moderate 73.1 0 0
Landslide Very Low 29.9 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Marshall County ranks in the 88th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 88th High
Socioeconomic status 87th High
Household characteristics 99th High
Racial & ethnic minority status 74th Moderate
Housing type & transportation 38th Low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 79th Relatively High
Risk to homes 78th Relatively High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 72.9%

NOAA tracked 145 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 25 in 2016–20 vs 120 in 2021–25 (+380% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Marshall County with other counties → All Oklahoma counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Marshall County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Marshall County, Oklahoma are ice storm, strong wind, and hail. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Marshall County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Marshall County has received 18 federal disaster declarations since 1982, including declarations in 2021. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (7 declarations).

Has Marshall County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Marshall County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Severe Winter Storm in 2021.

How does Marshall County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Grayson County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Love County, OK has the lowest (Very Low). Marshall County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Marshall County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Marshall County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Marshall County's composite score of 49 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 49% of US counties.

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