Lexington County, SC
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Lexington County has experienced 25 federally declared disasters since 1977, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Lexington County's highest-rated hazards are tornado, ice storm, and strong wind, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 22% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Lexington County has been designated in 25 declarations since 1977, covering 8 disaster types including hurricane (13), severe ice storm (3), biological (2).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2024 | Hurricane | Hurricane Helene |
| 2024 | Tropical Storm | Hurricane Helene |
| 2024 | Tropical Storm | Hurricane Debby |
| 2023 | Hurricane | Hurricane Idalia |
| 2023 | Hurricane | Hurricane Ian |
| 2022 | Hurricane | Hurricane Ian |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Hurricane | Hurricane Dorian |
Showing the 10 most recent of 25 total declarations since 1977.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 75.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 90.6 | 42 | 0 | $719K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Moderate | 91.4 | 1 | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 92.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively High | 97.6 | 24 | 0 | $50K |
| Hurricane | Relatively Moderate | 92.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 80.7 | 73 | 0 | $2K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively High | 93.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | 76.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very High | 96.7 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | 77.9 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 92.2 | 2 | 0 | $5K |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 63.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 75.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Lexington County ranks in the 49th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 49th | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 38th | Low |
| Household characteristics | 56th | Moderate |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 63rd | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 49th | Low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 54th | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk to homes | 53rd | Relatively Moderate |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 54.4% | — |
NOAA tracked 140 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 63 in 2016–20 vs 77 in 2021–25 (+22% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Lexington County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Lexington County, South Carolina are tornado, ice storm, and strong wind. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Has Lexington County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Lexington County has received 25 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (13 declarations).
Has Lexington County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Lexington County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Hurricane Helene (2024), Hurricane Helene (2024), Hurricane Debby (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1977.
How does Lexington County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Richland County, SC has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Calhoun County, SC has the lowest (Very Low). Lexington County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.
How is Lexington County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Lexington County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Lexington County's composite score of 91 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 91% of US counties.