Aiken County, SC
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Aiken County has experienced 24 federally declared disasters since 1977, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Aiken County's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, lightning, and hurricane, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 70 storm events in the county over the past decade.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Aiken County has been designated in 24 declarations since 1977, covering 8 disaster types including hurricane (10), severe storm (3), severe ice storm (3).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2024 | Hurricane | Hurricane Helene |
| 2024 | Tropical Storm | Hurricane Helene |
| 2024 | Tropical Storm | Hurricane Debby |
| 2023 | Hurricane | Hurricane Idalia |
| 2023 | Hurricane | Hurricane Ian |
| 2022 | Hurricane | Hurricane Ian |
| 2020 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Straight-Line Winds |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
Showing the 10 most recent of 24 total declarations since 1977.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 82.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 84.4 | 14 | 0 | $38K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 88.9 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 86.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | 87.4 | 8 | 0 | $2K |
| Hurricane | Relatively Moderate | 90.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 73.3 | 44 | 0 | $890 |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 72.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 53 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High | 92.1 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | 70.9 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 90.2 | 4 | 0 | $300 |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 58.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 80.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Aiken County ranks in the 63rd percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 63rd | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 59th | Moderate |
| Household characteristics | 64th | Moderate |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 72nd | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 52nd | Moderate |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 58th | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk to homes | 59th | Relatively Moderate |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 67.3% | — |
NOAA tracked 70 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 36 in 2016–20 vs 34 in 2021–25 (-6% — relatively stable).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Aiken County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Aiken County, South Carolina are ice storm, lightning, and hurricane. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Has Aiken County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Aiken County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (10 declarations).
Has Aiken County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Aiken County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Hurricane Helene (2024), Hurricane Helene (2024), Hurricane Debby (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1977.
How does Aiken County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Lexington County, SC has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Edgefield County, SC has the lowest (Very Low). Aiken County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.
How is Aiken County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Aiken County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Aiken County's composite score of 84 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 84% of US counties.