Lee County, FL

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 759,922 · Cities: Cape Coral , Fort Myers , Bonita Springs , Estero

Relatively High Riskier than 99% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Lee County has experienced 45 federally declared disasters since 1965, most recently Hurricane Milton in 2025. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively High — higher risk than most US counties.

Lee County's highest-rated hazards are hurricane, lightning, and coastal flooding, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 52% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (71st percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Lee County has been designated in 45 declarations since 1965, covering 7 disaster types including hurricane (21), fire (6), tropical storm (5).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2025 Hurricane Hurricane Milton
2025 Hurricane Hurricane Milton
2024 Tropical Storm Tropical Storm Helene
2024 Tropical Storm Tropical Storm Debby
2024 Hurricane Hurricane Helene
2024 Tropical Storm Hurricane Debby
2023 Tropical Storm Tropical Storm Nicole
2023 Tropical Storm Tropical Storm Idalia
2023 Hurricane Hurricane Nicole
2023 Hurricane Hurricane Idalia

Showing the 10 most recent of 45 total declarations since 1965.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively Moderate 96.6 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively High 97.3 23 0 $500.9M
Coastal Flooding Very High 97.4 5 0
Earthquake Very Low 33.9
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 93.2 0 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 87.5 17 0 $14.3M
Hurricane Very High 99.9 0 0
Hail Very Low 24.3 11 0
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 64.9 0 0
Winter Weather No Rating 0 0 0
Ice Storm Not Applicable
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate 72.2
Lightning Very High 99.8 7 3 $80K
Drought Relatively Low 52.3 0 0
Landslide Very Low 48.4 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Insufficient Data
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Lee County ranks in the 71st percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 71st Moderate
Socioeconomic status 65th Moderate
Household characteristics 61st Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 73rd Moderate
Housing type & transportation 67th Moderate

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 91st Very High
Risk to homes 91st Very High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 21.2%

NOAA tracked 63 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 25 in 2016–20 vs 38 in 2021–25 (+52% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Lee County with other counties → All Florida counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Lee County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Lee County, Florida are hurricane, lightning, and coastal flooding. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively High — higher risk than most US counties.

Has Lee County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Lee County has received 45 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including declarations in 2025. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (21 declarations).

Has Lee County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Lee County include Hurricane Milton (2025), Hurricane Milton (2025), Tropical Storm Helene (2024), Tropical Storm Debby (2024), Hurricane Helene (2024), Hurricane Debby (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1965.

How does Lee County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Collier County, FL has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Glades County, FL has the lowest (Relatively Low). Lee County is rated Relatively High overall.

How is Lee County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Lee County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Lee County's composite score of 99 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 99% of US counties.

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