Lane County, OR
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Lane County has experienced 24 federally declared disasters since 1965, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively High — higher risk than most US counties.
Lane County's highest-rated hazards are earthquake, inland flooding, and volcanic activity, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 24 storm events in the county over the past decade. Community vulnerability is elevated (74th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Lane County has been designated in 24 declarations since 1965, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (10), flood (6), fire (4).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2024 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2023 | Fire | Cedar Creek Fire |
| 2020 | Fire | Wildfires And Straight-Line Winds |
| 2020 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2020 | Fire | Holiday Farm Fire |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2017 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm And Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 24 total declarations since 1965.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 68.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively High | 97.2 | 18 | 0 | $35K |
| Coastal Flooding | Relatively Low | 55.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively High | 98.8 | 1 | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 93.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Very Low | 21 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 30.7 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 57.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively High | 87 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High | 83.2 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 44 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 87.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Very Low | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate | 88.4 | 4 | 0 | $102K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 49 | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 29.2 | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Relatively Moderate | 94.5 | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Lane County ranks in the 74th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 74th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 65th | Moderate |
| Household characteristics | 49th | Low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 53rd | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 92nd | High |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 57th | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk to homes | 59th | Relatively Moderate |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 33.4% | — |
NOAA tracked 24 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 9 in 2016–20 vs 15 in 2021–25 .
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Lane County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Lane County, Oregon are earthquake, inland flooding, and volcanic activity. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively High — higher risk than most US counties.
Has Lane County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Lane County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (10 declarations).
Has Lane County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Lane County include Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides (2026), Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Landslides, And Mudslides (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1965.
How does Lane County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Marion County, OR has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Polk County, OR has the lowest (Relatively Low). Lane County is rated Relatively High overall.
How is Lane County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Lane County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Lane County's composite score of 96 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 96% of US counties.