Lincoln County, OR
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Lincoln County has experienced 24 federally declared disasters since 1965, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Lincoln County's highest-rated hazards are earthquake, landslide, and ice storm, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Community vulnerability is elevated (72nd percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Lincoln County has been designated in 24 declarations since 1965, covering 7 disaster types including severe storm (11), flood (5), fire (3).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2024 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2020 | Fire | Wildfires And Straight-Line Winds |
| 2020 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2020 | Fire | Echo Mountain Fire Complex |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2016 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2014 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2012 | Flood | Severe Winter Storm, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides |
Showing the 10 most recent of 24 total declarations since 1965.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 50.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 86.6 | 7 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 71.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Moderate | 97.8 | 11 | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 38.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Very Low | 11.2 | 1 | 0 | $8K |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 3.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High | 86.9 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 14 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 28.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Very Low | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate | 97.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 24.3 | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Relatively Moderate | 76.9 | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 83.7 | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Lincoln County ranks in the 72nd percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 72nd | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 71st | Moderate |
| Household characteristics | 85th | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 53rd | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 48th | Low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 36th | Relatively Low |
| Risk to homes | 38th | Relatively Low |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 37.0% | — |
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Lincoln County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Lincoln County, Oregon are earthquake, landslide, and ice storm. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Has Lincoln County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Lincoln County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (11 declarations).
Has Lincoln County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Lincoln County include Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides (2026), Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Landslides, And Mudslides (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1965.
How does Lincoln County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Marion County, OR has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Polk County, OR has the lowest (Relatively Low). Lincoln County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.
How is Lincoln County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Lincoln County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Lincoln County's composite score of 90 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 90% of US counties.