Douglas County, OR
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Douglas County has experienced 27 federally declared disasters since 1965, most recently Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides in 2025. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Douglas County's highest-rated hazards are wildfire, earthquake, and landslide, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Douglas County has been designated in 27 declarations since 1965, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (9), fire (7), flood (7).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2020 | Fire | Wildfires And Straight-Line Winds |
| 2020 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2020 | Fire | Archie Creek Fire |
| 2019 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2019 | Flood | Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2019 | Fire | Mile Post 97 Fire |
| 2016 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides |
Showing the 10 most recent of 27 total declarations since 1965.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively High | 97.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively High | 95.2 | 8 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 62.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Moderate | 97.3 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 87.5 | 9 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Very Low | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 23.1 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 24.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | 84 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Moderate | 76.1 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 3.3 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 46.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Very Low | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate | 95.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Relatively Moderate | 82.7 | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 41.5 | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Relatively Low | 85.3 | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Douglas County ranks in the 65th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 65th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 60th | Moderate |
| Household characteristics | 71st | Moderate |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 42nd | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 66th | Moderate |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 93rd | Very High |
| Risk to homes | 96th | Very High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 59.0% | — |
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Douglas County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Douglas County, Oregon are wildfire, earthquake, and landslide. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Has Douglas County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Douglas County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including declarations in 2025. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (9 declarations).
Has Douglas County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Douglas County include Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1965.
How does Douglas County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Lane County, OR has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Benton County, OR has the lowest (Relatively Moderate). Douglas County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.
How is Douglas County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Douglas County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Douglas County's composite score of 93 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 93% of US counties.