Juniata County, PA

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 23,482

Very Low Riskier than 39% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Juniata County has experienced 20 federally declared disasters since 1972, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Juniata County's highest-rated hazards are landslide, hurricane, and winter weather, with its top risk rated "Relatively Low" by FEMA's National Risk Index.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Juniata County has been designated in 20 declarations since 1972, covering 5 disaster types including flood (7), snowstorm (4), hurricane (4).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2016 Snowstorm Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm
2013 Hurricane Hurricane Sandy
2013 Hurricane Hurricane Sandy
2011 Flood Tropical Storm Lee
2011 Flood Remnants Of Tropical Storm Lee
2010 Snowstorm Severe Winter Storms And Snowstorms
2005 Hurricane Hurricane Katrina
2004 Hurricane Tropical Depression Ivan

Showing the 10 most recent of 20 total declarations since 1972.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 16.5 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Low 60.3 3 0
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 37.8 1
Heat Wave Very Low 37.7 3 0
Tornado Relatively Low 26.9 2 0 $525K
Hurricane Relatively Low 76.7 0 0
Hail Very Low 15 5 0
Strong Wind Relatively Low 50.6 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate 65.8 0 0
Ice Storm Very Low 13.8
Cold Wave Very Low 13.3
Lightning Relatively Low 28.2 0 0
Drought No Rating 0 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 79.2 0 0
Avalanche Very Low 52.6
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Juniata County ranks in the 48th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 48th Low
Socioeconomic status 43rd Low
Household characteristics 34th Low
Racial & ethnic minority status 17th Very low
Housing type & transportation 80th High

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 37th Relatively Low
Risk to homes 39th Relatively Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 75.7%

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Juniata County with other counties → All Pennsylvania counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Juniata County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Juniata County, Pennsylvania are landslide, hurricane, and winter weather. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Has Juniata County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Juniata County has received 20 federal disaster declarations since 1972, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is flood (7 declarations).

Has Juniata County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Juniata County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.

How does Juniata County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Dauphin County, PA has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Huntingdon County, PA has the lowest (Relatively Low). Juniata County is rated Very Low overall.

How is Juniata County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Juniata County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Juniata County's composite score of 39 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 39% of US counties.

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