Frontier County, NE
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Frontier County has experienced 16 federally declared disasters since 1967, most recently Road 702 Fire in 2022. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Frontier County's highest-rated hazards are hail, strong wind, and drought, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 41% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Frontier County has been designated in 16 declarations since 1967, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (8), flood (3), biological (2).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Fire | Road 702 Fire |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Flood | Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2010 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms And Snowstorm |
| 2010 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2008 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2007 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2007 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2006 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
Showing the 10 most recent of 16 total declarations since 1967.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 41.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 7.4 | 7 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 10.1 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 29.2 | 9 | 0 | $113K |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 90.1 | 62 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 81 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 49.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 27.7 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 15.8 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 73.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 33.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Frontier County ranks in the 32nd percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32nd | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 27th | Low |
| Household characteristics | 39th | Low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 19th | Very low |
| Housing type & transportation | 54th | Moderate |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 42nd | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk to homes | 42nd | Relatively Moderate |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 62.7% | — |
NOAA tracked 78 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 49 in 2016–20 vs 29 in 2021–25 (-41% — frequency decreasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Frontier County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Frontier County, Nebraska are hail, strong wind, and drought. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Frontier County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Frontier County has received 16 federal disaster declarations since 1967, including declarations in 2022. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (8 declarations).
Has Frontier County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Frontier County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Road 702 Fire in 2022.
How does Frontier County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Dawson County, NE has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Hayes County, NE has the lowest (Very Low). Frontier County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Frontier County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Frontier County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Frontier County's composite score of 14 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 14% of US counties.