Deuel County, NE

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 1,838

Very Low Riskier than 4% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Deuel County has experienced 9 federally declared disasters since 2001, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Deuel County's highest-rated hazards are drought, hail, and lightning, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 67% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is relatively low (6th percentile nationally), indicating stronger recovery capacity than most US counties.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Deuel County has been designated in 9 declarations since 2001, covering 5 disaster types including severe storm (4), biological (2), flood (1).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2019 Flood Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2018 Snowstorm Severe Winter Storm And Straight-Line Winds
2009 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Flooding, And Tornadoes
2007 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storms
2005 Hurricane Hurricane Katrina Evacuees
2003 Severe Storm Severe Storms And Tornadoes
2001 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storms, Flooding And Tornadoes

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 38.4 0 0
Inland Flooding Very Low 3.5 1 0
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 8.8
Heat Wave Very Low 4.3 0 0
Tornado Very Low 17.4 2 0 $125K
Hurricane Not Applicable 0 0
Hail Relatively Low 67 29 0 $53K
Strong Wind Very Low 13.5 0 0
Winter Weather Very Low 18.3 0 0
Ice Storm Very Low 7.8
Cold Wave Very Low 20.3
Lightning Relatively Low 39.4 0 0
Drought Relatively Moderate 82 0 0
Landslide Very Low 2.6 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Deuel County ranks in the 6th percentile (Very low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 6th Very low
Socioeconomic status 34th Low
Household characteristics 17th Very low
Racial & ethnic minority status 44th Low
Housing type & transportation 0th Very low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 46th Relatively Moderate
Risk to homes 47th Relatively Moderate
Buildings in direct exposure zone 52.5%

NOAA tracked 32 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 24 in 2016–20 vs 8 in 2021–25 (-67% — frequency decreasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Deuel County with other counties → All Nebraska counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Deuel County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Deuel County, Nebraska are drought, hail, and lightning. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Has Deuel County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Deuel County has received 9 federal disaster declarations since 2001, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (4 declarations).

Has Deuel County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Deuel County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.

How does Deuel County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Cheyenne County, NE has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Very Low) and Garden County, NE has the lowest (Very Low). Deuel County is rated Very Low overall.

How is Deuel County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Deuel County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Deuel County's composite score of 4 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 4% of US counties.

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