Cedar County, MO
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Cedar County has experienced 23 federally declared disasters since 1976, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Cedar County's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, heat wave, and strong wind, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 19% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Cedar County has been designated in 23 declarations since 1976, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (11), severe ice storm (5), flood (3).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2017 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And Flooding |
| 2016 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2016 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2013 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds And Flooding |
| 2011 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm |
| 2011 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
Showing the 10 most recent of 23 total declarations since 1976.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 49.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 24.7 | 13 | 0 | $1.0M |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 43.7 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 67.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 63.3 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 47.8 | 21 | 0 | $155K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 64 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 45.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Moderate | 75.7 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 48.6 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 35.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 59.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Cedar County ranks in the 66th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 66th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 76th | High |
| Household characteristics | 60th | Moderate |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 17th | Very low |
| Housing type & transportation | 68th | Moderate |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 67th | Relatively High |
| Risk to homes | 65th | Relatively High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 82.8% | — |
NOAA tracked 35 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 16 in 2016–20 vs 19 in 2021–25 (+19% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Cedar County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Cedar County, Missouri are ice storm, heat wave, and strong wind. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Cedar County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Cedar County has received 23 federal disaster declarations since 1976, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (11 declarations).
Has Cedar County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Cedar County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.
How does Cedar County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Polk County, MO has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Dade County, MO has the lowest (Very Low). Cedar County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Cedar County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Cedar County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Cedar County's composite score of 26 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 26% of US counties.