Barton County, MO
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Barton County has experienced 24 federally declared disasters since 1976, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2023. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Barton County's highest-rated hazards are drought, ice storm, and strong wind, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 18% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Barton County has been designated in 24 declarations since 1976, covering 5 disaster types including severe storm (11), flood (5), severe ice storm (5).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2017 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And Flooding |
| 2016 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2016 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2013 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2011 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm |
| 2011 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
Showing the 10 most recent of 24 total declarations since 1976.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Low | 45.9 | 51 | 0 | $260K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 51.9 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 62 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 64.5 | 8 | 3 | $4.3M |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 28.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 52.6 | 35 | 0 | $50K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 71.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 49.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High | 82.6 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 48.5 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively High | 92.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 34.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Barton County ranks in the 68th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 68th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 92nd | High |
| Household characteristics | 82nd | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 26th | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 18th | Very low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 43rd | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk to homes | 42nd | Relatively Moderate |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 62.2% | — |
NOAA tracked 93 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 51 in 2016–20 vs 42 in 2021–25 (-18% — frequency decreasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Barton County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Barton County, Missouri are drought, ice storm, and strong wind. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Has Barton County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Barton County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1976, including declarations in 2023. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (11 declarations).
Has Barton County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Barton County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2023.
How does Barton County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Jasper County, MO has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Dade County, MO has the lowest (Very Low). Barton County is rated Relatively Low overall.
How is Barton County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Barton County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Barton County's composite score of 44 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 44% of US counties.