Tampa, FL
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
Tampa is rated Relatively High for overall natural hazard risk — higher risk than most US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Hillsborough County, FL. The county's highest-rated hazards are tornado, lightning, and cold wave.
Storm events near Tampa
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Tampa's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Tampa itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Hillsborough County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Tampa along with the rest of the county, not a Tampa-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 95.7 | Relatively Moderate |
| Inland Flooding | 97.8 | Relatively High |
| Coastal Flooding | 92.4 | Relatively High |
| Earthquake | 68.5 | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | 97 | Relatively High |
| Tornado | 99.7 | Very High |
| Avalanche | — | Not Applicable |
| Cold Wave | 99.5 | Very High |
| Drought | 83 | Relatively Moderate |
| Hail | 97.8 | Relatively High |
| Hurricane | 99.3 | Very High |
| Ice Storm | — | Not Applicable |
| Landslide | 64.4 | Relatively Low |
| Lightning | 99.7 | Very High |
| Strong Wind | 82.1 | Relatively Moderate |
| Tsunami | — | Insufficient Data |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable |
| Winter Weather | 0 | No Rating |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Hillsborough County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
Other cities in Hillsborough County:
More on Hillsborough County:
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is Tampa, FL at risk of?
Tampa is rated Relatively High for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — higher risk than most US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Hillsborough County, where Tampa is located, are tornado, lightning, and cold wave.
What is Tampa's biggest natural hazard risk?
Tornado is the highest-rated hazard for Hillsborough County, where Tampa is located, scoring 99.7 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Very High").
Is Tampa a high-risk area for natural disasters?
Yes — Tampa carries higher risk than most US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively High" for Hillsborough County.
Has Tampa had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 34 tornado, 20 hail, 34 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Tampa since 2016.