South St. Paul, MN
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
South St. Paul is rated Relatively Moderate for overall natural hazard risk — near the middle compared to other US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Dakota County, MN. The county's highest-rated hazards are strong wind, hail, and tornado.
Storm events near South St. Paul
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of South St. Paul's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to South St. Paul itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Dakota County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering South St. Paul along with the rest of the county, not a South St. Paul-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 39.6 | Very Low |
| Inland Flooding | 88.7 | Relatively Moderate |
| Coastal Flooding | — | Not Applicable |
| Earthquake | 21.2 | Very Low |
| Heat Wave | 84.6 | Relatively Moderate |
| Tornado | 97.4 | Relatively High |
| Avalanche | — | Not Applicable |
| Cold Wave | 90.1 | Relatively High |
| Drought | 31.5 | Relatively Low |
| Hail | 97.5 | Relatively High |
| Hurricane | — | Not Applicable |
| Ice Storm | 55.8 | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | 70.2 | Relatively Low |
| Lightning | 84.8 | Relatively High |
| Strong Wind | 99.4 | Very High |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable |
| Winter Weather | 91.9 | Relatively High |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Dakota County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
Other cities in Dakota County:
More on Dakota County:
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is South St. Paul, MN at risk of?
South St. Paul is rated Relatively Moderate for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — near the middle compared to other US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Dakota County, where South St. Paul is located, are strong wind, hail, and tornado.
What is South St. Paul's biggest natural hazard risk?
Strong Wind is the highest-rated hazard for Dakota County, where South St. Paul is located, scoring 99.4 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Very High").
Is South St. Paul a high-risk area for natural disasters?
Somewhat — South St. Paul carries near the middle compared to other US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively Moderate" for Dakota County.
Has South St. Paul had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 28 tornado, 396 hail, 33 inland flooding events within 25 miles of South St. Paul since 2016.