McMinnville, TN
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
McMinnville is rated Relatively Low for overall natural hazard risk — lower risk than most US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Warren County, TN. The county's highest-rated hazards are tornado, earthquake, and drought.
Storm events near McMinnville
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of McMinnville's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to McMinnville itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Warren County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering McMinnville along with the rest of the county, not a McMinnville-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 23.6 | Very Low |
| Inland Flooding | 57 | Relatively Low |
| Coastal Flooding | — | Not Applicable |
| Earthquake | 83.1 | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | 20.7 | Very Low |
| Tornado | 85 | Relatively Moderate |
| Avalanche | — | Not Applicable |
| Cold Wave | 82.2 | Relatively Moderate |
| Drought | 83.1 | Relatively Moderate |
| Hail | 56.6 | Relatively Low |
| Hurricane | 53.5 | Very Low |
| Ice Storm | 47.7 | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | 28.7 | Very Low |
| Lightning | 61.5 | Relatively Moderate |
| Strong Wind | 74.2 | Relatively Moderate |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable |
| Winter Weather | 80.6 | Relatively Moderate |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Warren County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
More on Warren County:
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is McMinnville, TN at risk of?
McMinnville is rated Relatively Low for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — lower risk than most US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Warren County, where McMinnville is located, are tornado, earthquake, and drought.
What is McMinnville's biggest natural hazard risk?
Tornado is the highest-rated hazard for Warren County, where McMinnville is located, scoring 85 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Relatively Moderate").
Is McMinnville a high-risk area for natural disasters?
No — McMinnville carries lower risk than most US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively Low" for Warren County.
Has McMinnville had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 14 tornado, 57 hail, 39 inland flooding events within 25 miles of McMinnville since 2016.