Grand Junction, CO
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
Grand Junction is rated Relatively Low for overall natural hazard risk — lower risk than most US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Mesa County, CO. The county's highest-rated hazards are landslide, lightning, and avalanche.
Storm events near Grand Junction
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Grand Junction's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Grand Junction itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Mesa County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Grand Junction along with the rest of the county, not a Grand Junction-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 89.9 | Relatively Moderate |
| Inland Flooding | 81.9 | Relatively Moderate |
| Coastal Flooding | — | Not Applicable |
| Earthquake | 84.7 | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | 59.3 | Relatively Low |
| Tornado | 17.7 | Very Low |
| Avalanche | 90.1 | Relatively High |
| Cold Wave | 30.9 | Relatively Low |
| Drought | 73.9 | Relatively Moderate |
| Hail | 21.2 | Very Low |
| Hurricane | — | Not Applicable |
| Ice Storm | 33.2 | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | 99.4 | Relatively High |
| Lightning | 97.3 | Very High |
| Strong Wind | 10.8 | Very Low |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable |
| Volcanic Activity | 18.6 | Very Low |
| Winter Weather | 68.2 | Relatively Moderate |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Mesa County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
Other cities in Mesa County:
More on Mesa County:
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is Grand Junction, CO at risk of?
Grand Junction is rated Relatively Low for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — lower risk than most US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Mesa County, where Grand Junction is located, are landslide, lightning, and avalanche.
What is Grand Junction's biggest natural hazard risk?
Landslide is the highest-rated hazard for Mesa County, where Grand Junction is located, scoring 99.4 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Relatively High").
Is Grand Junction a high-risk area for natural disasters?
No — Grand Junction carries lower risk than most US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively Low" for Mesa County.
Has Grand Junction had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 10 hail, 30 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Grand Junction since 2016.