Front Royal, VA
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
Front Royal is rated Very Low for overall natural hazard risk — among the lowest-risk counties in the country — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Warren County, VA. The county's highest-rated hazards are landslide, hurricane, and drought.
Storm events near Front Royal
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Front Royal's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Front Royal itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Warren County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Front Royal along with the rest of the county, not a Front Royal-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 36.4 | Very Low |
| Inland Flooding | 55.7 | Relatively Low |
| Coastal Flooding | — | Not Applicable |
| Earthquake | 45.2 | Very Low |
| Heat Wave | 48.6 | Relatively Low |
| Tornado | 24.7 | Very Low |
| Avalanche | 49.6 | Very Low |
| Cold Wave | 8.7 | Very Low |
| Drought | 56 | Relatively Low |
| Hail | 36.6 | Relatively Low |
| Hurricane | 59.9 | Relatively Low |
| Ice Storm | 10.5 | Very Low |
| Landslide | 80.5 | Relatively Low |
| Lightning | 47.6 | Relatively Low |
| Strong Wind | 44.4 | Relatively Low |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable |
| Winter Weather | 42.9 | Relatively Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Warren County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
More on Warren County:
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is Front Royal, VA at risk of?
Front Royal is rated Very Low for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The highest-rated hazards for Warren County, where Front Royal is located, are landslide, hurricane, and drought.
What is Front Royal's biggest natural hazard risk?
Landslide is the highest-rated hazard for Warren County, where Front Royal is located, scoring 80.5 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Relatively Low").
Is Front Royal a high-risk area for natural disasters?
No — Front Royal carries among the lowest-risk counties in the country for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Very Low" for Warren County.
Has Front Royal had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 6 tornado, 57 hail, 282 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Front Royal since 2016.