Fredericksburg, VA
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
Fredericksburg is rated Very Low for overall natural hazard risk — among the lowest-risk counties in the country — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Fredericksburg, VA. The county's highest-rated hazards are lightning, hurricane, and earthquake.
Storm events near Fredericksburg
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Fredericksburg's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Fredericksburg itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Fredericksburg's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Fredericksburg along with the rest of the county, not a Fredericksburg-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 1.7 | Very Low |
| Inland Flooding | 20.6 | Very Low |
| Coastal Flooding | 17 | Very Low |
| Earthquake | 57.5 | Very Low |
| Heat Wave | 39 | Relatively Low |
| Tornado | 21 | Very Low |
| Avalanche | — | Not Applicable |
| Cold Wave | 4.7 | Very Low |
| Drought | 0 | No Rating |
| Hail | 20.8 | Very Low |
| Hurricane | 57.9 | Very Low |
| Ice Storm | 16.2 | Very Low |
| Landslide | 7.3 | Very Low |
| Lightning | 61.1 | Relatively Moderate |
| Strong Wind | 36.4 | Relatively Low |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable |
| Winter Weather | 20 | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Fredericksburg risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
More on Fredericksburg:
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is Fredericksburg, VA at risk of?
Fredericksburg is rated Very Low for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The highest-rated hazards for Fredericksburg, where Fredericksburg is located, are lightning, hurricane, and earthquake.
What is Fredericksburg's biggest natural hazard risk?
Lightning is the highest-rated hazard for Fredericksburg, where Fredericksburg is located, scoring 61.1 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Relatively Moderate").
Is Fredericksburg a high-risk area for natural disasters?
No — Fredericksburg carries among the lowest-risk counties in the country for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Very Low" for Fredericksburg.
Has Fredericksburg had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 3 tornado, 52 hail, 265 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Fredericksburg since 2016.