Fairfax, VA
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
Fairfax is rated Very Low for overall natural hazard risk — among the lowest-risk counties in the country — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Fairfax, VA. The county's highest-rated hazards are hurricane, earthquake, and heat wave.
Storm events near Fairfax
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Fairfax's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Fairfax itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Fairfax's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Fairfax along with the rest of the county, not a Fairfax-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 1 | Very Low |
| Inland Flooding | 13.5 | Very Low |
| Coastal Flooding | — | Not Applicable |
| Earthquake | 47.8 | Very Low |
| Heat Wave | 42.1 | Relatively Low |
| Tornado | 20.1 | Very Low |
| Avalanche | — | Not Applicable |
| Cold Wave | 5.2 | Very Low |
| Drought | 0 | No Rating |
| Hail | 17.5 | Very Low |
| Hurricane | 62.2 | Relatively Low |
| Ice Storm | 13.9 | Very Low |
| Landslide | 2.1 | Very Low |
| Lightning | 36.2 | Relatively Low |
| Strong Wind | 27.3 | Relatively Low |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable |
| Winter Weather | 27.1 | Relatively Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Fairfax risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
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Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is Fairfax, VA at risk of?
Fairfax is rated Very Low for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The highest-rated hazards for Fairfax, where Fairfax is located, are hurricane, earthquake, and heat wave.
What is Fairfax's biggest natural hazard risk?
Hurricane is the highest-rated hazard for Fairfax, where Fairfax is located, scoring 62.2 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Relatively Low").
Is Fairfax a high-risk area for natural disasters?
No — Fairfax carries among the lowest-risk counties in the country for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Very Low" for Fairfax.
Has Fairfax had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 22 tornado, 179 hail, 1124 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Fairfax since 2016.