Elgin, TX
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
Elgin is rated Relatively Moderate for overall natural hazard risk — near the middle compared to other US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Bastrop County, TX. The county's highest-rated hazards are tornado, inland flooding, and hail.
Storm events near Elgin
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Elgin's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Elgin itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Bastrop County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Elgin along with the rest of the county, not a Elgin-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 71.8 | Relatively Low |
| Inland Flooding | 86.2 | Relatively Moderate |
| Coastal Flooding | — | Not Applicable |
| Earthquake | 21 | Very Low |
| Heat Wave | 83.6 | Relatively Moderate |
| Tornado | 91.1 | Relatively High |
| Avalanche | — | Not Applicable |
| Cold Wave | 74.9 | Relatively Moderate |
| Drought | 76.4 | Relatively Moderate |
| Hail | 85.1 | Relatively Moderate |
| Hurricane | 63.2 | Relatively Low |
| Ice Storm | 57.9 | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | 43 | Very Low |
| Lightning | 70.2 | Relatively Moderate |
| Strong Wind | 68.1 | Relatively Moderate |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable |
| Winter Weather | 79.8 | Relatively Moderate |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Bastrop County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
Other cities in Bastrop County:
More on Bastrop County:
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is Elgin, TX at risk of?
Elgin is rated Relatively Moderate for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — near the middle compared to other US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Bastrop County, where Elgin is located, are tornado, inland flooding, and hail.
What is Elgin's biggest natural hazard risk?
Tornado is the highest-rated hazard for Bastrop County, where Elgin is located, scoring 91.1 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Relatively High").
Is Elgin a high-risk area for natural disasters?
Somewhat — Elgin carries near the middle compared to other US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively Moderate" for Bastrop County.
Has Elgin had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 13 tornado, 227 hail, 99 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Elgin since 2016.