Bastrop, TX

Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data

Population: 12,720 · Part of Bastrop County

Bastrop is rated Relatively Moderate for overall natural hazard risk — near the middle compared to other US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Bastrop County, TX. The county's highest-rated hazards are tornado, inland flooding, and hail.

Storm events near Bastrop

NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Bastrop's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Bastrop itself, not the whole county.

Tornado 11 events
Hail 96 events
Inland Flooding 55 events

County-wide hazard risk

Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Bastrop County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Bastrop along with the rest of the county, not a Bastrop-specific figure.

Hazard NRI score Rating
Wildfire 71.8 Relatively Low
Inland Flooding 86.2 Relatively Moderate
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable
Earthquake 21 Very Low
Heat Wave 83.6 Relatively Moderate
Tornado 91.1 Relatively High
Avalanche Not Applicable
Cold Wave 74.9 Relatively Moderate
Drought 76.4 Relatively Moderate
Hail 85.1 Relatively Moderate
Hurricane 63.2 Relatively Low
Ice Storm 57.9 Relatively Low
Landslide 43 Very Low
Lightning 70.2 Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind 68.1 Relatively Moderate
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable
Winter Weather 79.8 Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Bastrop County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.

Other cities in Bastrop County:

More on Bastrop County:

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards is Bastrop, TX at risk of?

Bastrop is rated Relatively Moderate for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — near the middle compared to other US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Bastrop County, where Bastrop is located, are tornado, inland flooding, and hail.

What is Bastrop's biggest natural hazard risk?

Tornado is the highest-rated hazard for Bastrop County, where Bastrop is located, scoring 91.1 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Relatively High").

Is Bastrop a high-risk area for natural disasters?

Somewhat — Bastrop carries near the middle compared to other US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively Moderate" for Bastrop County.

Has Bastrop had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?

NOAA has recorded 11 tornado, 96 hail, 55 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Bastrop since 2016.