Washington County, MD

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 154,643 · Cities: Hagerstown

Relatively Low Riskier than 69% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Washington County has experienced 17 federally declared disasters since 1972, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Washington County's highest-rated hazards are drought, hurricane, and winter weather, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 37% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Washington County has been designated in 17 declarations since 1972, covering 6 disaster types including hurricane (5), snowstorm (4), flood (3).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2018 Severe Storm Severe Storms And Flooding
2016 Snowstorm Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm
2013 Hurricane Hurricane Sandy
2013 Hurricane Hurricane Sandy
2011 Hurricane Hurricane Irene
2010 Snowstorm Severe Winter Storms And Snowstorms
2005 Hurricane Hurricane Katrina Evacuation

Showing the 10 most recent of 17 total declarations since 1972.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 38.2 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Moderate 73.1 66 0 $4.7M
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 76.5
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 79.2 20 0
Tornado Relatively Low 62 1 0
Hurricane Relatively Moderate 85.7 0 0
Hail Relatively Low 66.9 30 0
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 67.9 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate 81.2 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 30.7
Cold Wave Relatively Low 32.8
Lightning Relatively Moderate 70.6 0 0
Drought Relatively Moderate 85.8 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 79.5 0 0
Avalanche Very Low 34.1
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Washington County ranks in the 63rd percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 63rd Moderate
Socioeconomic status 48th Low
Household characteristics 59th Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 59th Moderate
Housing type & transportation 78th High

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 36th Relatively Low
Risk to homes 36th Relatively Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 52.1%

NOAA tracked 117 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 72 in 2016–20 vs 45 in 2021–25 (-37% — frequency decreasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Washington County with other counties → All Maryland counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Washington County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Washington County, Maryland are drought, hurricane, and winter weather. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Washington County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Washington County has received 17 federal disaster declarations since 1972, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (5 declarations).

Has Washington County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Washington County include Severe Winter Storm (2026). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1972.

How does Washington County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Franklin County, PA has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Fulton County, PA has the lowest (Very Low). Washington County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Washington County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Washington County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Washington County's composite score of 69 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 69% of US counties.

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