Wapello County, IA

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 35,423 · Cities: Ottumwa

Relatively Low Riskier than 65% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Wapello County has experienced 20 federally declared disasters since 1965, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Wapello County's highest-rated hazards are drought, tornado, and heat wave, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 33% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (79th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Wapello County has been designated in 20 declarations since 1965, covering 5 disaster types including flood (9), severe storm (7), biological (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2019 Flood Severe Storms And Flooding
2013 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2013 Flood Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2010 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Flooding, And Tornadoes
2008 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storm
2008 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2007 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storms
2007 Severe Storm Severe Storms And Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 20 total declarations since 1965.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 61.6 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Low 69.3 18 0 $550K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 37.3
Heat Wave Relatively Low 75.1 2 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 81.8 2 0 $2.0M
Hurricane Very Low 10.2 0 0
Hail Relatively Low 62.9 18 0 $6K
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 74 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Low 51.1 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 45
Cold Wave Relatively Low 31.5
Lightning Relatively Low 52.5 0 0
Drought Relatively High 97.2 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 73.4 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Wapello County ranks in the 79th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 79th High
Socioeconomic status 65th Moderate
Household characteristics 92nd High
Racial & ethnic minority status 54th Moderate
Housing type & transportation 73rd Moderate

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 57th Relatively Moderate
Risk to homes 53rd Relatively Moderate
Buildings in direct exposure zone 38.6%

NOAA tracked 40 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 24 in 2016–20 vs 16 in 2021–25 (-33% — frequency decreasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Wapello County with other counties → All Iowa counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Wapello County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Wapello County, Iowa are drought, tornado, and heat wave. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Wapello County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Wapello County has received 20 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is flood (9 declarations).

Has Wapello County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Wapello County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.

How does Wapello County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Davis County, IA has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Monroe County, IA has the lowest (Very Low). Wapello County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Wapello County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Wapello County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Wapello County's composite score of 65 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 65% of US counties.

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