Union County, IA

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 12,125

Relatively Low Riskier than 50% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Union County has experienced 21 federally declared disasters since 1969, most recently Severe Storms And Tornadoes in 2024. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Union County's highest-rated hazards are drought, cold wave, and heat wave, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 175% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Union County has been designated in 21 declarations since 1969, covering 7 disaster types including severe storm (7), flood (6), tornado (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2024 Tornado Severe Storms And Tornadoes
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2019 Flood Severe Storms And Flooding
2010 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storm
2010 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Flooding, And Tornadoes
2008 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storm
2008 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2007 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Flooding, And Tornadoes
2007 Severe Storm Severe Storms And Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 21 total declarations since 1969.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 49.8 0 0
Inland Flooding Very Low 30.1 2 0 $20K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 24.2
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 82.7 2 0
Tornado Relatively Low 57.1 11 0 $1.1M
Hurricane Very Low 11 0 0
Hail Relatively Moderate 74.2 30 0 $25K
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 54.1 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Low 43.8 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 36.9
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate 84.5
Lightning Very Low 19.4 0 0
Drought Relatively High 95.4 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 62.8 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Union County ranks in the 38th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 38th Low
Socioeconomic status 32nd Low
Household characteristics 60th Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 13th Very low
Housing type & transportation 49th Low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 50th Relatively Moderate
Risk to homes 48th Relatively Moderate
Buildings in direct exposure zone 42.1%

NOAA tracked 45 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 12 in 2016–20 vs 33 in 2021–25 (+175% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Union County with other counties → All Iowa counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Union County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Union County, Iowa are drought, cold wave, and heat wave. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Union County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Union County has received 21 federal disaster declarations since 1969, including declarations in 2024. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (7 declarations).

Has Union County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Union County include Severe Storms And Tornadoes (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1969.

How does Union County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Adair County, IA has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Ringgold County, IA has the lowest (Very Low). Union County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Union County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Union County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Union County's composite score of 50 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 50% of US counties.

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