Texas County, OK

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 21,380 · Cities: Guymon

Relatively Low Riskier than 57% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Texas County has experienced 21 federally declared disasters since 2001, most recently Stevens Fire in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Texas County's highest-rated hazards are drought, winter weather, and cold wave, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 19% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (91st percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Texas County has been designated in 21 declarations since 2001, covering 5 disaster types including severe storm (8), severe ice storm (6), fire (4).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2026 Fire Stevens Fire
2022 Fire Cobb Fire
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storm
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2017 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storm
2017 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2011 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storm
2011 Fire Guymon Fire

Showing the 10 most recent of 21 total declarations since 2001.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively Low 83.4 0 0
Inland Flooding Very Low 11.9 8 0
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 29.5
Heat Wave Very Low 18.2 0 0
Tornado Relatively Low 59.3 8 0
Hurricane Not Applicable 0 0
Hail Relatively Low 61.9 120 0 $60K
Strong Wind Relatively Low 45.1 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively High 88.3 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate 67.9
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate 86.6
Lightning Relatively Moderate 69.3 0 0
Drought Relatively High 99 0 0
Landslide Very Low 5.6 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Texas County ranks in the 91st percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 91st High
Socioeconomic status 86th High
Household characteristics 85th High
Racial & ethnic minority status 91st High
Housing type & transportation 84th High

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 93rd Very High
Risk to homes 93rd Very High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 43.9%

NOAA tracked 136 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 75 in 2016–20 vs 61 in 2021–25 (-19% — frequency decreasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Texas County with other counties → All Oklahoma counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Texas County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Texas County, Oklahoma are drought, winter weather, and cold wave. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Texas County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Texas County has received 21 federal disaster declarations since 2001, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (8 declarations).

Has Texas County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Texas County include Stevens Fire (2026). See the declarations table above for the full history since 2001.

How does Texas County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Seward County, KS has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Very Low) and Morton County, KS has the lowest (Very Low). Texas County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Texas County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Texas County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Texas County's composite score of 57 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 57% of US counties.

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