Texas County, MO
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Texas County has experienced 27 federally declared disasters since 1976, most recently Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding in 2025. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Texas County's highest-rated hazards are cold wave, heat wave, and ice storm, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 129 storm events in the county over the past decade. Community vulnerability is elevated (86th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Texas County has been designated in 27 declarations since 1976, covering 7 disaster types including severe storm (14), flood (4), severe ice storm (4).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2024 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2017 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And Flooding |
| 2016 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2016 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2015 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 27 total declarations since 1976.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 64.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Low | 49.2 | 71 | 0 | $8.0M |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 80.1 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 87.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 63.1 | 12 | 0 | $810K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 37.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 32.3 | 50 | 0 | $663K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 62.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | 65.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High | 86 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively High | 91.3 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 58.3 | 2 | 0 | $80K |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 36.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 65 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Texas County ranks in the 86th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 86th | High |
| Socioeconomic status | 97th | High |
| Household characteristics | 52nd | Moderate |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 29th | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 87th | High |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 67th | Relatively High |
| Risk to homes | 63rd | Relatively High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 89.2% | — |
NOAA tracked 129 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 63 in 2016–20 vs 66 in 2021–25 (+5% — relatively stable).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Texas County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Texas County, Missouri are cold wave, heat wave, and ice storm. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Has Texas County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Texas County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1976, including declarations in 2025. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (14 declarations).
Has Texas County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Texas County include Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1976.
How does Texas County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Howell County, MO has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Dent County, MO has the lowest (Relatively Low). Texas County is rated Relatively Low overall.
How is Texas County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Texas County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Texas County's composite score of 62 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 62% of US counties.