Stoddard County, MO

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 28,566

Relatively Low Riskier than 74% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Stoddard County has experienced 26 federally declared disasters since 1973, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Wildfires in 2025. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Stoddard County's highest-rated hazards are earthquake, ice storm, and heat wave, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 44% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Stoddard County has been designated in 26 declarations since 1973, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (16), flood (3), severe ice storm (3).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Wildfires
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2024 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2020 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2019 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2016 Flood Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2016 Flood Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2013 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 26 total declarations since 1973.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 13.4 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Low 41.6 22 0 $200K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Moderate 95.5 1
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 85.2 49 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 75.3 12 0 $3.5M
Hurricane Very Low 49.1 0 0
Hail Relatively Low 38.9 17 0
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 83.9 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate 77.4 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively High 88.7
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate 74
Lightning Relatively Moderate 56.7 0 0
Drought Relatively Moderate 69.2 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 65.5 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Stoddard County ranks in the 44th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 44th Low
Socioeconomic status 70th Moderate
Household characteristics 60th Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 12th Very low
Housing type & transportation 15th Very low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 18th Very Low
Risk to homes 17th Very Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 48.2%

NOAA tracked 100 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 41 in 2016–20 vs 59 in 2021–25 (+44% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Stoddard County with other counties → All Missouri counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Stoddard County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Stoddard County, Missouri are earthquake, ice storm, and heat wave. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Stoddard County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Stoddard County has received 26 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including declarations in 2025. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (16 declarations).

Has Stoddard County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Stoddard County include Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Wildfires (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1973.

How does Stoddard County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Butler County, MO has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Bollinger County, MO has the lowest (Very Low). Stoddard County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Stoddard County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Stoddard County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Stoddard County's composite score of 74 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 74% of US counties.

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