Stephens County, OK

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 42,776 · Cities: Duncan

Relatively Low Riskier than 66% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Stephens County has experienced 35 federally declared disasters since 1973, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2025. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Stephens County's highest-rated hazards are hail, tornado, and wildfire, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 115% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Stephens County has been designated in 35 declarations since 1973, covering 7 disaster types including severe storm (15), severe ice storm (9), fire (4).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2025 Fire Wildhorse Fire
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2023 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storm
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storm
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2019 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2016 Flood Severe Storms And Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 35 total declarations since 1973.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively Low 88.5 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Low 54.2 28 2 $50K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 62.6 2
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 82.9 86 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 89.8 14 0 $5.6M
Hurricane Very Low 30.7 0 0
Hail Relatively Moderate 91.5 108 0 $100K
Strong Wind Relatively High 84.6 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate 63.2 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively High 88.1
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate 70.2
Lightning Relatively Low 36.9 0 0
Drought Relatively Moderate 74.7 0 0
Landslide Very Low 44.6 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Stephens County ranks in the 69th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 69th Moderate
Socioeconomic status 71st Moderate
Household characteristics 89th High
Racial & ethnic minority status 55th Moderate
Housing type & transportation 35th Low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 90th Very High
Risk to homes 89th Very High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 61.2%

NOAA tracked 233 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 74 in 2016–20 vs 159 in 2021–25 (+115% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Stephens County with other counties → All Oklahoma counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Stephens County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Stephens County, Oklahoma are hail, tornado, and wildfire. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Stephens County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Stephens County has received 35 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including declarations in 2025. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (15 declarations).

Has Stephens County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Stephens County include Wildhorse Fire (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1973.

How does Stephens County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Comanche County, OK has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Cotton County, OK has the lowest (Very Low). Stephens County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Stephens County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Stephens County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Stephens County's composite score of 66 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 66% of US counties.

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