Shawnee County, KS

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 178,851 · Cities: Topeka

Relatively Moderate Riskier than 88% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Shawnee County has experienced 17 federally declared disasters since 1966, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2024. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.

Shawnee County's highest-rated hazards are winter weather, ice storm, and tornado, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 79% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Shawnee County has been designated in 17 declarations since 1966, covering 7 disaster types including severe storm (8), flood (3), biological (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2024 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2010 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storms And Snowstorm
2008 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storms
2008 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storms
2007 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2006 Severe Storm Severe Storms And Flooding
2005 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storms, Heavy Rains, And Flooding
2005 Hurricane Hurricane Katrina Evacuation

Showing the 10 most recent of 17 total declarations since 1966.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively Low 75.3 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Moderate 90 31 0
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 59.8
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 95 0 0
Tornado Relatively High 95.9 7 0
Hurricane No Rating 0 0 0
Hail Relatively Moderate 87.4 104 0
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 79.5 0 0
Winter Weather Very High 98.9 0 0
Ice Storm Very High 97.9
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate 81
Lightning Relatively High 95.1 0 0
Drought Relatively Low 46.8 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 63.8 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Shawnee County ranks in the 61st percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 61st Moderate
Socioeconomic status 39th Low
Household characteristics 71st Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 64th Moderate
Housing type & transportation 75th High

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 64th Relatively High
Risk to homes 65th Relatively High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 33.1%

NOAA tracked 142 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 117 in 2016–20 vs 25 in 2021–25 (-79% — frequency decreasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Shawnee County with other counties → All Kansas counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Shawnee County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Shawnee County, Kansas are winter weather, ice storm, and tornado. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.

Has Shawnee County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Shawnee County has received 17 federal disaster declarations since 1966, including declarations in 2024. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (8 declarations).

Has Shawnee County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Shawnee County include Severe Winter Storm (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1966.

How does Shawnee County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Douglas County, KS has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Wabaunsee County, KS has the lowest (Very Low). Shawnee County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.

How is Shawnee County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Shawnee County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Shawnee County's composite score of 88 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 88% of US counties.

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