Page County, IA
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Page County has experienced 16 federally declared disasters since 1965, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Page County's highest-rated hazards are heat wave, drought, and hail, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 24% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Page County has been designated in 16 declarations since 1965, covering 6 disaster types including flood (6), severe storm (4), biological (2).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Flood | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2010 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms And Snowstorm |
| 2008 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2008 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2007 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Flooding, And Tornadoes |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2004 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 1998 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes And Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 16 total declarations since 1965.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 34.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 27.5 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 20.7 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 85.7 | 9 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | 69.6 | 7 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | No Rating | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 76 | 27 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 50.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 41.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 41.2 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | 67.3 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 30.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 85.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 59.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Page County ranks in the 39th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 39th | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 39th | Low |
| Household characteristics | 43rd | Low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 27th | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 46th | Low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 35th | Relatively Low |
| Risk to homes | 35th | Relatively Low |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 39.8% | — |
NOAA tracked 44 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 25 in 2016–20 vs 19 in 2021–25 (-24% — frequency decreasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Page County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Page County, Iowa are heat wave, drought, and hail. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Page County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Page County has received 16 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is flood (6 declarations).
Has Page County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Page County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.
How does Page County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Nodaway County, MO has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Fremont County, IA has the lowest (Very Low). Page County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Page County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Page County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Page County's composite score of 40 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 40% of US counties.