Otoe County, NE
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Otoe County has experienced 23 federally declared disasters since 1974, most recently Severe Winter Storm And Straight-Line Winds in 2025. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Otoe County's highest-rated hazards are hail, wildfire, and drought, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 85% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is relatively low (27th percentile nationally), indicating stronger recovery capacity than most US counties.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Otoe County has been designated in 23 declarations since 1974, covering 7 disaster types including severe storm (10), flood (7), biological (2).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm And Straight-Line Winds |
| 2022 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Flood | Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2015 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2011 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Flooding, Tornado, And Straight-Lin |
| 2011 | Flood | Flooding |
| 2011 | Flood | Flooding |
| 2010 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms And Snowstorm |
Showing the 10 most recent of 23 total declarations since 1974.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 67.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 21.1 | 12 | 0 | $75K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 11.3 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 51.5 | 9 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 50.4 | 6 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | No Rating | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 78.9 | 30 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 48.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 24.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 58.7 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 29.7 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 66.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 48.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Otoe County ranks in the 27th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27th | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 10th | Very low |
| Household characteristics | 90th | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 38th | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 22nd | Very low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 44th | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk to homes | 49th | Relatively Moderate |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 42.0% | — |
NOAA tracked 57 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 20 in 2016–20 vs 37 in 2021–25 (+85% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Otoe County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Otoe County, Nebraska are hail, wildfire, and drought. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Otoe County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Otoe County has received 23 federal disaster declarations since 1974, including declarations in 2025. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (10 declarations).
Has Otoe County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Otoe County include Severe Winter Storm And Straight-Line Winds (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1974.
How does Otoe County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Lancaster County, NE has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Johnson County, NE has the lowest (Very Low). Otoe County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Otoe County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Otoe County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Otoe County's composite score of 18 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 18% of US counties.