Nottoway County, VA

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 15,638

Very Low Riskier than 29% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Nottoway County has experienced 22 federally declared disasters since 1972, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Nottoway County's highest-rated hazards are drought, hurricane, and strong wind, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 20 storm events in the county over the past decade. Community vulnerability is elevated (84th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Nottoway County has been designated in 22 declarations since 1972, covering 8 disaster types including hurricane (8), severe storm (3), snowstorm (3).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2025 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storms And Flooding
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2019 Hurricane Tropical Storm Michael
2019 Hurricane Hurricane Florence
2018 Hurricane Hurricane Florence
2013 Hurricane Hurricane Sandy
2012 Severe Storm Severe Storms And Straight-Line Winds

Showing the 10 most recent of 22 total declarations since 1972.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 8.8 0 0
Inland Flooding Very Low 12.8 13 0
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 59.6
Heat Wave Very Low 35.5 1 0
Tornado Very Low 24.4 1 0 $150K
Hurricane Relatively Low 78.9 0 0
Hail Very Low 22.6 4 0
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 62.3 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Low 30.9 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 31.6
Cold Wave Very Low 23.3
Lightning Relatively Low 38.9 1 0 $200
Drought Relatively High 97.2 0 0
Landslide Very Low 24.1 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Nottoway County ranks in the 84th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 84th High
Socioeconomic status 93rd High
Household characteristics 52nd Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 84th High
Housing type & transportation 66th Moderate

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 29th Relatively Low
Risk to homes 28th Relatively Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 73.9%

NOAA tracked 20 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 8 in 2016–20 vs 12 in 2021–25 .

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Nottoway County with other counties → All Virginia counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Nottoway County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Nottoway County, Virginia are drought, hurricane, and strong wind. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Has Nottoway County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Nottoway County has received 22 federal disaster declarations since 1972, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (8 declarations).

Has Nottoway County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Nottoway County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Winter Storms And Flooding (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1972.

How does Nottoway County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Prince Edward County, VA has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Very Low) and Amelia County, VA has the lowest (Very Low). Nottoway County is rated Very Low overall.

How is Nottoway County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Nottoway County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Nottoway County's composite score of 29 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 29% of US counties.

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