Montgomery County, AR
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Montgomery County has experienced 24 federally declared disasters since 1968, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Montgomery County's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, landslide, and wildfire, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 54 storm events in the county over the past decade.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Montgomery County has been designated in 24 declarations since 1968, covering 8 disaster types including severe storm (8), flood (5), hurricane (3).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2025 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2020 | Hurricane | Hurricane Laura |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2017 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2016 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2015 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2013 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 24 total declarations since 1968.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 61.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Low | 48.7 | 29 | 0 | $40K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 46.2 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 53.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 49.7 | 2 | 0 | $200K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 42.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 36.5 | 22 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 45.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 41.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High | 83.7 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 18.2 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 44.9 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Drought | No Rating | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 66 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Montgomery County ranks in the 58th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 58th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 75th | High |
| Household characteristics | 83rd | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 30th | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 20th | Very low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 68th | Relatively High |
| Risk to homes | 63rd | Relatively High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 94.0% | — |
NOAA tracked 54 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 29 in 2016–20 vs 25 in 2021–25 (-14% — frequency decreasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Montgomery County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Montgomery County, Arkansas are ice storm, landslide, and wildfire. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Montgomery County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Montgomery County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1968, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (8 declarations).
Has Montgomery County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Montgomery County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025), Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1968.
How does Montgomery County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Garland County, AR has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Pike County, AR has the lowest (Very Low). Montgomery County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Montgomery County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Montgomery County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Montgomery County's composite score of 31 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 31% of US counties.