Lyman County, SD

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 3,715

Very Low Riskier than 27% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Lyman County has experienced 30 federally declared disasters since 1976, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Lyman County's highest-rated hazards are cold wave, wildfire, and winter weather, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 48% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (87th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Lyman County has been designated in 30 declarations since 1976, covering 6 disaster types including biological (16), flood (7), severe storm (4).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic

Showing the 10 most recent of 30 total declarations since 1976.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively Low 69.5 0 0
Inland Flooding Very Low 29.1 16 0 $26K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 13.6
Heat Wave Very Low 22.7 11 0
Tornado Relatively Low 27.6 3 0
Hurricane Not Applicable 0 0
Hail Relatively Low 69.4 67 0
Strong Wind Very Low 16 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate 69.5 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 37.8
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate 79.6
Lightning Very Low 10.5 0 0
Drought Relatively Low 55.4 0 0
Landslide Very Low 22.1 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Lyman County ranks in the 87th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 87th High
Socioeconomic status 64th Moderate
Household characteristics 91st High
Racial & ethnic minority status 85th High
Housing type & transportation 91st High

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 64th Relatively High
Risk to homes 67th Relatively High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 69.3%

NOAA tracked 97 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 64 in 2016–20 vs 33 in 2021–25 (-48% — frequency decreasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Lyman County with other counties → All South Dakota counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Lyman County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Lyman County, South Dakota are cold wave, wildfire, and winter weather. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Has Lyman County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Lyman County has received 30 federal disaster declarations since 1976, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is biological (16 declarations).

Has Lyman County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Lyman County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.

How does Lyman County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Brule County, SD has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Jones County, SD has the lowest (Very Low). Lyman County is rated Very Low overall.

How is Lyman County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Lyman County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Lyman County's composite score of 27 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 27% of US counties.

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