Lake and Peninsula Borough, AK
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Lake and Peninsula Borough has experienced 3 federally declared disasters since 2000, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Lake and Peninsula Borough's highest-rated hazards are volcanic activity, earthquake, and avalanche, with its top risk rated "Relatively Low" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Community vulnerability is elevated (79th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Lake and Peninsula Borough has been designated in 3 declarations since 2000, covering 2 disaster types including biological (2), severe storm (1).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2000 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms And Avalanches |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 45.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | No Rating | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 79.7 | 390 | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Insufficient Data | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Very Low | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | No Rating | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 30.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 1 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 34.2 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | No Rating | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Relatively Low | 76.2 | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Relatively Low | 50.8 | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Relatively Low | 90.2 | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Lake and Peninsula Borough ranks in the 79th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 79th | High |
| Socioeconomic status | 69th | Moderate |
| Household characteristics | 62nd | Moderate |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 99th | High |
| Housing type & transportation | 76th | High |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 44th | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk to homes | 48th | Relatively Moderate |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 87.5% | — |
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Lake and Peninsula Borough?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Lake and Peninsula Borough, Alaska are volcanic activity, earthquake, and avalanche. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Lake and Peninsula Borough received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Lake and Peninsula Borough has received 3 federal disaster declarations since 2000, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is biological (2 declarations).
Has Lake and Peninsula Borough had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Lake and Peninsula Borough since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.
How does Lake and Peninsula Borough's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Bristol Bay Borough, AK has the lowest (Very Low). Lake and Peninsula Borough is rated Very Low overall.
How is Lake and Peninsula Borough's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Lake and Peninsula Borough's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Lake and Peninsula Borough's composite score of 6 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 6% of US counties.