Lafayette County, MS

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 55,742 · Cities: Oxford

Relatively Low Riskier than 64% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Lafayette County has experienced 21 federally declared disasters since 1971, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Lafayette County's highest-rated hazards are earthquake, cold wave, and landslide, with its top risk rated "Relatively Low" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 355% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Lafayette County has been designated in 21 declarations since 1971, covering 7 disaster types including severe storm (9), hurricane (4), winter storm (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2022 Hurricane Hurricane Ida
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2021 Hurricane Hurricane Ida
2020 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2019 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2011 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Associated Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 21 total declarations since 1971.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 48.1 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Low 47.8 9 0 $480K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 88.5
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 80.7 70 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 81.1 5 0 $545K
Hurricane Relatively Low 61.1 0 0
Hail Relatively Low 43 25 0
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 54.5 0 0
Winter Weather Very Low 13.7 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 49.5
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate 88.3
Lightning Relatively Moderate 75.5 2 0 $100K
Drought Relatively Low 31.5 0 0
Landslide Relatively Moderate 87.4 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Lafayette County ranks in the 44th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 44th Low
Socioeconomic status 57th Moderate
Household characteristics 1st Very low
Racial & ethnic minority status 67th Moderate
Housing type & transportation 86th High

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 73rd Relatively High
Risk to homes 69th Relatively High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 71.0%

NOAA tracked 111 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 20 in 2016–20 vs 91 in 2021–25 (+355% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Lafayette County with other counties → All Mississippi counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Lafayette County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Lafayette County, Mississippi are earthquake, cold wave, and landslide. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Lafayette County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Lafayette County has received 21 federal disaster declarations since 1971, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (9 declarations).

Has Lafayette County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Lafayette County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Winter Storm (2026). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1971.

How does Lafayette County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Marshall County, MS has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Yalobusha County, MS has the lowest (Very Low). Lafayette County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Lafayette County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Lafayette County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Lafayette County's composite score of 64 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 64% of US counties.

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