Greene County, MO
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Greene County has experienced 27 federally declared disasters since 1974, most recently Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Greene County's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, heat wave, and winter weather, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 315 storm events in the county over the past decade.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Greene County has been designated in 27 declarations since 1974, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (13), flood (6), severe ice storm (4).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2023 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2017 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And Flooding |
| 2016 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2016 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2011 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
Showing the 10 most recent of 27 total declarations since 1974.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 72.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 88.8 | 152 | 0 | $1.3M |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Moderate | 92.9 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively High | 98.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively High | 94.9 | 17 | 0 | $5.6M |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 41.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 93.2 | 147 | 0 | $7.1M |
| Strong Wind | Relatively High | 87.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Very High | 97.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very High | 99.5 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | 78.7 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 95.3 | 2 | 0 | $35K |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 44.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 54.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Greene County ranks in the 53rd percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 53rd | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 58th | Moderate |
| Household characteristics | 10th | Very low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 41st | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 83rd | High |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 60th | Relatively High |
| Risk to homes | 58th | Relatively Moderate |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 30.3% | — |
NOAA tracked 315 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 162 in 2016–20 vs 153 in 2021–25 (-6% — relatively stable).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Greene County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Greene County, Missouri are ice storm, heat wave, and winter weather. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Has Greene County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Greene County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1974, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (13 declarations).
Has Greene County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Greene County include Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2026), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1974.
How does Greene County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Christian County, MO has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Dade County, MO has the lowest (Very Low). Greene County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.
How is Greene County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Greene County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Greene County's composite score of 90 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 90% of US counties.