Grand County, UT
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Grand County has experienced 4 federally declared disasters since 1977, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Grand County's highest-rated hazards are lightning, landslide, and avalanche, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 355% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Grand County has been designated in 4 declarations since 1977, covering 3 disaster types including biological (2), coastal storm (1), drought (1).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2005 | Coastal Storm | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 1977 | Drought | Drought |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 58.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 25.4 | 32 | 2 | $40.1M |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 32.7 | 1 | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 32.3 | 4 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Very Low | 5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 2.5 | 14 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | 3.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 25.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 5.6 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 3.2 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 87.2 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 38.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 82.4 | 10 | 0 | $31K |
| Avalanche | Relatively Moderate | 80.6 | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | No Rating | 0 | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Grand County ranks in the 46th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 46th | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 43rd | Low |
| Household characteristics | 33rd | Low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 52nd | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 56th | Moderate |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 59th | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk to homes | 69th | Relatively High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 53.3% | — |
NOAA tracked 61 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 11 in 2016–20 vs 50 in 2021–25 (+355% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Grand County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Grand County, Utah are lightning, landslide, and avalanche. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Grand County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Grand County has received 4 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is biological (2 declarations).
Has Grand County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Grand County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.
How does Grand County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Mesa County, CO has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Wayne County, UT has the lowest (Very Low). Grand County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Grand County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Grand County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Grand County's composite score of 10 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 10% of US counties.