Garfield County, UT

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 5,083

Very Low Riskier than 38% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Garfield County has experienced 7 federally declared disasters since 1977, most recently Mammoth Fire in 2021. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Garfield County's highest-rated hazards are landslide, lightning, and winter weather, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 89% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Garfield County has been designated in 7 declarations since 1977, covering 5 disaster types including biological (2), flood (2), fire (1).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2021 Fire Mammoth Fire
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2011 Flood Severe Winter Storm And Flooding
2005 Coastal Storm Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
1983 Flood Severe Storms, Landslides & Flooding
1977 Drought Drought

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively Low 78.3 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Low 48.8 68 1 $136K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 64.1 3
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 82.5 1 0
Tornado Very Low 2.4 3 0 $300K
Hurricane Not Applicable 0 0
Hail Very Low 1.2 6 0 $8K
Strong Wind Very Low 4.8 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively High 86.7 0 0
Ice Storm Very Low 8.4
Cold Wave Very Low 3.6
Lightning Relatively High 89.8 0 0
Drought Relatively Low 35.6 0 0
Landslide Relatively Moderate 96.2 0 0
Avalanche Relatively Moderate 85.7
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Very Low 75.9

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Garfield County ranks in the 34th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 34th Low
Socioeconomic status 46th Low
Household characteristics 36th Low
Racial & ethnic minority status 34th Low
Housing type & transportation 25th Low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 63rd Relatively High
Risk to homes 73rd Relatively High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 62.6%

NOAA tracked 78 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 27 in 2016–20 vs 51 in 2021–25 (+89% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Garfield County with other counties → All Utah counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Garfield County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Garfield County, Utah are landslide, lightning, and winter weather. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Has Garfield County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Garfield County has received 7 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including declarations in 2021. The most common disaster type on record is biological (2 declarations).

Has Garfield County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Garfield County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Mammoth Fire in 2021.

How does Garfield County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Kane County, UT has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Very Low) and Piute County, UT has the lowest (Very Low). Garfield County is rated Very Low overall.

How is Garfield County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Garfield County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Garfield County's composite score of 38 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 38% of US counties.

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