Elmore County, AL
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Elmore County has experienced 24 federally declared disasters since 1975, most recently Hurricane Helene in 2024. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Elmore County's highest-rated hazards are heat wave, lightning, and inland flooding, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 53 storm events in the county over the past decade.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Elmore County has been designated in 24 declarations since 1975, covering 6 disaster types including hurricane (10), severe storm (8), biological (2).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Hurricane | Hurricane Helene |
| 2023 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes |
| 2023 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes |
| 2021 | Hurricane | Hurricane Zeta |
| 2020 | Hurricane | Hurricane Sally |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2018 | Hurricane | Hurricane Nate |
| 2017 | Hurricane | Hurricane Irma |
| 2016 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 24 total declarations since 1975.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 61.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 80.6 | 14 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 75.3 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 86.5 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | 75.6 | 18 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | 75.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 32.3 | 18 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 65.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 32.9 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 41.4 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 82.9 | 1 | 0 | $20K |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 59.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 76.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Elmore County ranks in the 44th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 44th | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 32nd | Low |
| Household characteristics | 39th | Low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 64th | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 57th | Moderate |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 69th | Relatively High |
| Risk to homes | 65th | Relatively High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 83.0% | — |
NOAA tracked 53 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 26 in 2016–20 vs 27 in 2021–25 (+4% — relatively stable).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Elmore County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Elmore County, Alabama are heat wave, lightning, and inland flooding. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Has Elmore County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Elmore County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1975, including declarations in 2024. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (10 declarations).
Has Elmore County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Elmore County include Hurricane Helene (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1975.
How does Elmore County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Montgomery County, AL has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Coosa County, AL has the lowest (Very Low). Elmore County is rated Relatively Low overall.
How is Elmore County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Elmore County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Elmore County's composite score of 72 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 72% of US counties.