East Carroll Parish, LA
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
East Carroll Parish has experienced 32 federally declared disasters since 1973, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
East Carroll Parish's highest-rated hazards are drought, hurricane, and tornado, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 47% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (88th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. East Carroll Parish has been designated in 32 declarations since 1973, covering 7 disaster types including hurricane (16), flood (5), severe storm (3).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2026 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2024 | Hurricane | Tropical Storm Francine |
| 2021 | Hurricane | Tropical Storm Zeta |
| 2021 | Coastal Storm | Tropical Storm Nicholas |
| 2021 | Hurricane | Tropical Storm Ida |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2021 | Hurricane | Hurricane Ida |
| 2021 | Hurricane | Hurricane Delta |
Showing the 10 most recent of 32 total declarations since 1973.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 8.7 | 15 | 0 | $639K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 58.5 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 55 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 62.7 | 3 | 0 | $315K |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | 66.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 58.1 | 8 | 0 | $93K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 39.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 58.7 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 36.5 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 27.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 89.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 15 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
East Carroll Parish ranks in the 88th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 88th | High |
| Socioeconomic status | 95th | High |
| Household characteristics | 49th | Low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 97th | High |
| Housing type & transportation | 75th | High |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 25th | Relatively Low |
| Risk to homes | 24th | Relatively Low |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 46.9% | — |
NOAA tracked 26 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 17 in 2016–20 vs 9 in 2021–25 (-47% — frequency decreasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in East Carroll Parish?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in East Carroll Parish, Louisiana are drought, hurricane, and tornado. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has East Carroll Parish received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. East Carroll Parish has received 32 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (16 declarations).
Has East Carroll Parish had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for East Carroll Parish include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Winter Storm (2026), Tropical Storm Francine (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1973.
How does East Carroll Parish's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Warren County, MS has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Issaquena County, MS has the lowest (Very Low). East Carroll Parish is rated Very Low overall.
How is East Carroll Parish's composite disaster risk index calculated?
East Carroll Parish's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. East Carroll Parish's composite score of 22 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 22% of US counties.