Choctaw County, AL

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 12,632

Relatively Low Riskier than 71% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Choctaw County has experienced 28 federally declared disasters since 1973, most recently Hurricane Helene in 2024. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Choctaw County's highest-rated hazards are hurricane, tornado, and landslide, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 36% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Choctaw County has been designated in 28 declarations since 1973, covering 7 disaster types including hurricane (14), severe storm (6), flood (3).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2024 Hurricane Hurricane Helene
2021 Hurricane Hurricane Zeta
2020 Severe Storm Severe Storms And Flooding
2020 Hurricane Hurricane Sally
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2018 Hurricane Hurricane Nate
2018 Hurricane Hurricane Nate
2017 Hurricane Hurricane Irma
2011 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 28 total declarations since 1973.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 52.4 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Moderate 73.5 15 0 $770K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 70.9 2
Heat Wave Relatively Low 46 0 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 77.8 16 0 $750K
Hurricane Relatively Moderate 89.3 0 0
Hail Relatively Low 46.3 5 0
Strong Wind Relatively Low 29.8 0 0
Winter Weather Very Low 24 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 50.4
Cold Wave Relatively Low 61.1
Lightning Relatively Low 54.6 0 0
Drought Relatively Low 31.7 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 73.7 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Choctaw County ranks in the 65th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 65th Moderate
Socioeconomic status 69th Moderate
Household characteristics 80th High
Racial & ethnic minority status 82nd High
Housing type & transportation 25th Low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 51st Relatively Moderate
Risk to homes 49th Relatively Moderate
Buildings in direct exposure zone 96.4%

NOAA tracked 33 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 14 in 2016–20 vs 19 in 2021–25 (+36% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Choctaw County with other counties → All Alabama counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Choctaw County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Choctaw County, Alabama are hurricane, tornado, and landslide. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Choctaw County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Choctaw County has received 28 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including declarations in 2024. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (14 declarations).

Has Choctaw County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Choctaw County include Hurricane Helene (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1973.

How does Choctaw County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Lauderdale County, MS has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Clarke County, MS has the lowest (Very Low). Choctaw County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Choctaw County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Choctaw County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Choctaw County's composite score of 71 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 71% of US counties.

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