Chester County, SC

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 32,263

Relatively Low Riskier than 43% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Chester County has experienced 23 federally declared disasters since 1977, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Chester County's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, lightning, and tornado, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Community vulnerability is elevated (70th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Chester County has been designated in 23 declarations since 1977, covering 7 disaster types including hurricane (12), severe storm (3), biological (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2024 Hurricane Hurricane Helene
2024 Tropical Storm Hurricane Helene
2024 Tropical Storm Hurricane Debby
2023 Hurricane Hurricane Idalia
2023 Hurricane Hurricane Ian
2022 Hurricane Hurricane Ian
2020 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19

Showing the 10 most recent of 23 total declarations since 1977.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 45.5 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Low 41.7 1 0 $50K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 71.3
Heat Wave Relatively Low 41.2 0 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 74.5 4 0 $125K
Hurricane Relatively Low 63.9 0 0
Hail Very Low 30 9 0
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 64.4 0 0
Winter Weather Very Low 21.2 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively High 82.3
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate 66.8
Lightning Relatively Moderate 76.4 1 1
Drought Relatively Low 40.8 0 0
Landslide Very Low 41.4 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Chester County ranks in the 70th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 70th Moderate
Socioeconomic status 81st High
Household characteristics 38th Low
Racial & ethnic minority status 80th High
Housing type & transportation 53rd Moderate

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 56th Relatively Moderate
Risk to homes 52nd Relatively Moderate
Buildings in direct exposure zone 82.6%

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Chester County with other counties → All South Carolina counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Chester County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Chester County, South Carolina are ice storm, lightning, and tornado. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Chester County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Chester County has received 23 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (12 declarations).

Has Chester County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Chester County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Hurricane Helene (2024), Hurricane Helene (2024), Hurricane Debby (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1977.

How does Chester County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, York County, SC has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Fairfield County, SC has the lowest (Very Low). Chester County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Chester County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Chester County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Chester County's composite score of 43 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 43% of US counties.

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