Carroll County, OH
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Carroll County has experienced 11 federally declared disasters since 1977, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Carroll County's highest-rated hazards are landslide, lightning, and hail, with its top risk rated "Relatively Low" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 18% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Carroll County has been designated in 11 declarations since 1977, covering 5 disaster types including severe storm (5), biological (2), snowstorm (2).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2012 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms |
| 2009 | Severe Storm | Severe Wind Storm Associated With Tropical Depression Ike |
| 2005 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, And Mudslides |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2004 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2004 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2003 | Tornado | Tornadoes, Flooding, Severe Storms, And High Winds |
| 1978 | Snowstorm | Blizzards & Snowstorms |
Showing the 10 most recent of 11 total declarations since 1977.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 24.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Low | 42.8 | 11 | 0 | $35K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 27 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 34.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 28 | 3 | 0 | $810K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 36.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 54 | 11 | 0 | $1K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 27.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 25.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 31.6 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 11.4 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 60.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 80.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Carroll County ranks in the 33rd percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33rd | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 37th | Low |
| Household characteristics | 61st | Moderate |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 5th | Very low |
| Housing type & transportation | 30th | Low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 28th | Relatively Low |
| Risk to homes | 27th | Relatively Low |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 80.8% | — |
NOAA tracked 24 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 11 in 2016–20 vs 13 in 2021–25 (+18% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Carroll County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Carroll County, Ohio are landslide, lightning, and hail. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Carroll County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Carroll County has received 11 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (5 declarations).
Has Carroll County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Carroll County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.
How does Carroll County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Stark County, OH has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Harrison County, OH has the lowest (Very Low). Carroll County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Carroll County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Carroll County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Carroll County's composite score of 20 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 20% of US counties.