Canyon County, ID

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 230,937 · Cities: Nampa , Caldwell , Middleton

Relatively Low Riskier than 72% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Canyon County has experienced 4 federally declared disasters since 2005, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Canyon County's highest-rated hazards are winter weather, wildfire, and heat wave, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Canyon County has been designated in 4 declarations since 2005, covering 3 disaster types including biological (2), flood (1), hurricane (1).

2005–2026
Year Type Event name
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2018 Flood Flooding
2005 Hurricane Hurricane Katrina

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively Moderate 92.5 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Moderate 80.3 6 0 $1.5M
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 78.8
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 89.5 1 1
Tornado Very Low 20.8 0 0
Hurricane Not Applicable 0 0
Hail Relatively Low 46.7 4 0
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 68.4 0 0
Winter Weather Very High 97 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate 73.8
Cold Wave Relatively Low 26
Lightning Relatively High 84.9 0 0
Drought Very Low 20.9 0 0
Landslide Very Low 31.7 0 0
Avalanche Very Low 5.6
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Very Low 68.7

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Canyon County ranks in the 62nd percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 62nd Moderate
Socioeconomic status 56th Moderate
Household characteristics 73rd Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 69th Moderate
Housing type & transportation 46th Low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 83rd Very High
Risk to homes 81st Very High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 44.8%

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Canyon County with other counties → All Idaho counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Canyon County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Canyon County, Idaho are winter weather, wildfire, and heat wave. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Canyon County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Canyon County has received 4 federal disaster declarations since 2005, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is biological (2 declarations).

Has Canyon County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Canyon County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.

How does Canyon County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Ada County, ID has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Payette County, ID has the lowest (Very Low). Canyon County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Canyon County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Canyon County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Canyon County's composite score of 72 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 72% of US counties.

Embed this county

Copy the code below to embed a live risk summary for Canyon County in an article, report, or dashboard.

FIPS: 16027 · JSON API · See national hazard leaderboards to compare Canyon County against top counties nationwide.