Caddo Parish, LA

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 237,695 · Cities: Shreveport

Relatively Moderate Riskier than 93% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Caddo Parish has experienced 35 federally declared disasters since 1977, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.

Caddo Parish's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, heat wave, and drought, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 23% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (93rd percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Caddo Parish has been designated in 35 declarations since 1977, covering 10 disaster types including hurricane (17), flood (4), severe ice storm (3).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2024 Hurricane Tropical Storm Francine
2021 Hurricane Tropical Storm Zeta
2021 Coastal Storm Tropical Storm Nicholas
2021 Hurricane Tropical Storm Ida
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storm
2021 Hurricane Hurricane Ida
2021 Hurricane Hurricane Delta
2021 Hurricane Hurricane Delta

Showing the 10 most recent of 35 total declarations since 1977.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 62.8 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Moderate 92 139 1
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 84.7 7
Heat Wave Relatively High 98.7 85 4
Tornado Relatively Moderate 89.8 30 2 $57.0M
Hurricane Relatively Moderate 82.8 0 0
Hail Relatively High 98.1 105 0
Strong Wind Very High 98.1 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively High 89.9 0 0
Ice Storm Very High 100
Cold Wave Relatively High 92.1
Lightning Very High 97.4 3 0 $560K
Drought Relatively High 98.2 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 64 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Caddo Parish ranks in the 93rd percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 93rd High
Socioeconomic status 90th High
Household characteristics 82nd High
Racial & ethnic minority status 90th High
Housing type & transportation 90th High

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 48th Relatively Moderate
Risk to homes 47th Relatively Moderate
Buildings in direct exposure zone 29.9%

NOAA tracked 359 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 161 in 2016–20 vs 198 in 2021–25 (+23% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Caddo Parish with other counties → All Louisiana counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Caddo Parish?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Caddo Parish, Louisiana are ice storm, heat wave, and drought. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.

Has Caddo Parish received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Caddo Parish has received 35 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (17 declarations).

Has Caddo Parish had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Caddo Parish include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Tropical Storm Francine (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1977.

How does Caddo Parish's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Bossier Parish, LA has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Marion County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Caddo Parish is rated Relatively Moderate overall.

How is Caddo Parish's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Caddo Parish's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Caddo Parish's composite score of 93 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 93% of US counties.

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