Butler County, OH

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 390,244 · Cities: Hamilton , Middletown , Fairfield , Oxford , Monroe , Trenton

Relatively Moderate Riskier than 92% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Butler County has experienced 14 federally declared disasters since 1968, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.

Butler County's highest-rated hazards are tornado, cold wave, and lightning, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 34% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Butler County has been designated in 14 declarations since 1968, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (5), flood (3), biological (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2012 Severe Storm Severe Storms
2009 Severe Storm Severe Wind Storm Associated With Tropical Depression Ike
2005 Snowstorm Snow
2005 Hurricane Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
2004 Severe Storm Severe Storms And Flooding
2001 Severe Storm Severe Storms And Flooding
1996 Flood Flooding
1990 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 14 total declarations since 1968.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 41.2 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Moderate 93 50 0 $375K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 85.3
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 81.7 3 0
Tornado Relatively High 98 9 0 $1.1M
Hurricane Very Low 27.7 0 0
Hail Relatively Moderate 80.8 38 0
Strong Wind Relatively High 94.3 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively High 90.3 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively High 92
Cold Wave Relatively High 96.2
Lightning Relatively High 94.3 1 0 $5K
Drought Relatively Low 46 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 76.2 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Butler County ranks in the 43rd percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 43rd Low
Socioeconomic status 36th Low
Household characteristics 51st Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 56th Moderate
Housing type & transportation 43rd Low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 14th Very Low
Risk to homes 12th Very Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 35.0%

NOAA tracked 93 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 56 in 2016–20 vs 37 in 2021–25 (-34% — frequency decreasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Butler County with other counties → All Ohio counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Butler County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Butler County, Ohio are tornado, cold wave, and lightning. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.

Has Butler County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Butler County has received 14 federal disaster declarations since 1968, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (5 declarations).

Has Butler County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Butler County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.

How does Butler County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Hamilton County, OH has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Union County, IN has the lowest (Very Low). Butler County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.

How is Butler County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Butler County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Butler County's composite score of 92 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 92% of US counties.

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