Brown County, SD

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 38,265 · Cities: Aberdeen

Relatively Low Riskier than 74% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Brown County has experienced 19 federally declared disasters since 1969, most recently Flooding in 2023. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Brown County's highest-rated hazards are winter weather, cold wave, and hail, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 17% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is relatively low (27th percentile nationally), indicating stronger recovery capacity than most US counties.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Brown County has been designated in 19 declarations since 1969, covering 5 disaster types including flood (9), severe storm (6), biological (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2023 Flood Flooding
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2019 Flood Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, And Flooding
2011 Flood Flooding
2010 Flood Flooding
2009 Severe Storm Severe Storms And Flooding
2007 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2006 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storm
2005 Coastal Storm Hurricane Katrina Evacuation

Showing the 10 most recent of 19 total declarations since 1969.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively Low 77.1 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Low 63.1 79 0 $895K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 27.8
Heat Wave Relatively Low 48.7 9 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 70.1 6 0
Hurricane Not Applicable 0 0
Hail Relatively Moderate 86.5 84 0
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 82.5 0 0
Winter Weather Very High 98.2 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate 81.7
Cold Wave Relatively High 96.4
Lightning Very Low 7.6 0 0
Drought Very Low 30.6 0 0
Landslide Very Low 44.4 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Brown County ranks in the 27th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 27th Low
Socioeconomic status 15th Very low
Household characteristics 26th Low
Racial & ethnic minority status 42nd Low
Housing type & transportation 59th Moderate

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 53rd Relatively Moderate
Risk to homes 55th Relatively Moderate
Buildings in direct exposure zone 47.5%

NOAA tracked 178 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 82 in 2016–20 vs 96 in 2021–25 (+17% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Brown County with other counties → All South Dakota counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Brown County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Brown County, South Dakota are winter weather, cold wave, and hail. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Brown County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Brown County has received 19 federal disaster declarations since 1969, including declarations in 2023. The most common disaster type on record is flood (9 declarations).

Has Brown County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Brown County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Flooding in 2023.

How does Brown County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Day County, SD has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Very Low) and Edmunds County, SD has the lowest (Very Low). Brown County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Brown County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Brown County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Brown County's composite score of 74 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 74% of US counties.

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