Atoka County, OK
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Atoka County has experienced 28 federally declared disasters since 1971, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes in 2023. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Atoka County's highest-rated hazards are hail, ice storm, and wildfire, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 479% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (86th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Atoka County has been designated in 28 declarations since 1971, covering 7 disaster types including severe storm (14), severe ice storm (6), biological (2).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2015 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2013 | Tornado | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2011 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2011 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Straight-Line Winds |
Showing the 10 most recent of 28 total declarations since 1971.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 84.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 20.5 | 7 | 0 | $25K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 35.7 | 2 | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 64.9 | 89 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 49.7 | 8 | 0 | $17K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 35.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively High | 94 | 26 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 26.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 36.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High | 87.3 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 34.6 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 32.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 68.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 41.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Atoka County ranks in the 86th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 86th | High |
| Socioeconomic status | 82nd | High |
| Household characteristics | 71st | Moderate |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 69th | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 87th | High |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 92nd | Very High |
| Risk to homes | 89th | Very High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 87.0% | — |
NOAA tracked 129 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 19 in 2016–20 vs 110 in 2021–25 (+479% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Atoka County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Atoka County, Oklahoma are hail, ice storm, and wildfire. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Atoka County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Atoka County has received 28 federal disaster declarations since 1971, including declarations in 2023. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (14 declarations).
Has Atoka County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Atoka County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes in 2023.
How does Atoka County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Bryan County, OK has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Johnston County, OK has the lowest (Very Low). Atoka County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Atoka County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Atoka County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Atoka County's composite score of 30 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 30% of US counties.